source: forexguy
In this article we are going to cover some of the real issues on why
such a high percentage of new traders fail in this profession. Let’s be
honest, if you’re involved in trading of any sort already, then you will
be guilty of committing at least half of these points mentioned below
at some stage in your trading career.
In today’s article, we’re going to have a look at some of the common
killers that plague new and experienced traders. Hopefully by the end of
the article you will be more aware for the common traps and won’t set
yourself up for Forex trading failure.
When people first find out about the Forex market and see how easy it
is to get setup and start trading, their eyes turn into dollar signs.
The internet is littered with advertisements for trading systems and
trading robots claiming they can return you ‘out of this world’ figures
overnight.
All you have to do is buy it, fund your account, switch it on before
you go to sleep, and check your millions in your account when you wake
up in the morning. Unfortunately you wake up only to find out you’ve
lost half of your capital!
The Forex world is filled with marketing scams and false claims.
Marketers know how to play on your ‘get rich quick desires’ and seduce
you into buying their product.
Forex is not a means to get rich quick, you can certainly make good
money from trading but you must treat it like any other job/profession.
If it was so easy to get rich quick from trading, why are a high
percentage of new traders a Forex trading failure and lose all their
money? Be sure to understand what becoming a trader means and have realistic expectations about forex trading before putting your hard earned money on the line.
Most of the time new traders step into the Forex arena unprepared.
They have no plan, and have no idea how they are going to approach their
trading. Unsuspecting newbies just jump straight in and make it all up
as they go along. A sure fire way for Forex trading failure.
It’s critical that you have a good trading strategy/plan if you’re
going to have any chance at succeeding! There is no consistency in
playing it how you feel at the time. Without the consistency, it will be
extremely hard to maintain steady profits, that’s if there are any to
begin with.
Would you open up a new business without knowing anything about the profession first?
No. Any type of trading, especially Full time Forex trading should
be treated exactly the same as starting up a new business. As a
business owner, you need to do you homework first and prepare yourself
for the worst case scenario. Stepping into the trading profession
unprepared is like trying to drive your car in the busy city blindfolded
and hoping you don’t hit anything. It’s a real good way to become a
Forex trading failure.
You are you’re worst enemy when it comes to trading, generally it will
be your own emotions that cause the death of your trading account.
Trading emotionally can quickly wipe the coma’s and zeros off your
account balance at alarming speeds. It doesn’t matter whether you are a
new, or an experienced trader! Greed, fear, revenge, over confidence,
impatience and euphoria are all typical emotions. These deadly sins must
be addressed and controlled before you stand any chance of long term
success.
Unless you want to be a Forex trading failure, you must become the
Jedi-knight of discipline. Without disciplining yourself to sickening
levels, these emotions will just creep back into your trading life and
kill you off like a cancer.
Everyone experiences these emotions at some point in their trading
career, but it’s the traders that never find the discipline control to
keep their emotions away from their trading. Unfortunately a high
percentage of new traders end up being another one of those Forex horror stories.
A fatal mistake amongst the Forex trading failure. It is the
misconception that ‘more trades = more money’. This comes from our
natural internal intuition of ‘more work = more results’.
In the real world this might be true but far from true in the
markets. For every trade that you open, you increase the risk exposure
of your account. Opening 5 trades with the same position size is going
to be significantly riskier than just opening the one trade, and you
would be surprised how many traders practice this sort of aggressive
trade opening behaviour.
Let’s say all the trades go south and they all get stopped out,
you’ve just lost 5 times the amount you would of if you only had the one
trade open. Don’t think Forex losing streaks won’t happen to you, because they will.
Always think worst case scenario! Over trading is often a side effect
from greed or overconfidence. Overtrading creates a snowball effect
that becomes a larger and larger problem. Where does it normally stop?
At a margin call.
Just do a quick search of the forums and you will quickly discover an
alarming amount of traders posting their setups from the 15m, 5, and
even the 1 minute charts. Scalping has the reputation of gaining quick
profits with ‘reduced risk’ by dipping in and out of the market for very
short periods of time.
This all falls back on the ‘if I do more work, I will make better
returns’ analogy that most traders adopt. Most traders believe the way
to trade is to scalping the low time frames with such high frequency to
generate good returns grabbing lots of small quick profits.
This risk of having a trade open for around 5 minutes is really no
different from the risk of having a trade open for days. In fact, there
is higher risk associated with scalping strategies because the stop loss
used can be as tight as a few pips. The trade has no room to breathe
and the position can be wiped out just from general noise of the market.
So if a scalp trade has increased risk, and you have to take a lot of
scalp trades to generate small overall profit, how is that less risk
overall? Factor in the increased risk of each scalp trade and multiply
that by the high number of trades that need be taken to generate a small
capital return, and this is provided that all your trades are winners!
How does that compare to taking 1 single trade on the higher timeframe
and aiming for a larger return over time.
What scalpers do you know that have a long track record of success?
All the scalpers I have come across are a Forex trading failure.
If you had 1 million dollars would you jump on the 5 minute time frame and start scalping?
Scalping is just a viral myth that new traders fall victim to,
scalping makes no logical or mathematical sense and it requires you to
sit in front of the trading screen for hours watching and waiting for
trades. Scalping is for gamblers not professional traders. It’s much
better to adopt end of day trading strategies, where you can trade, and enjoy your life at the time.
A controversial subject is the use of indicators and how effective
they really are. We believe indicators are one of the causes of the
majority of trader’s failure. We are price action based traders, so we
don’t apply indicators to our charts. A lot of new traders want to
explore their options and try using indicators with their trading.
There may be some strategies available that utilize indicators
successfully, but the newbie trader tends to make up his/her own
rules.“The more indicators I use with my trading, the more reliable my
signals are going to be!” Heard this one before?, it’s another general
misconception, using multiple indicators does not mean more reliable
signals.
In fact all this does is make a confusing and stressful environment
for the trader which will provoke dangerous emotional intervention from
the trader, and there is only one way that will end.
The other major problem is that indicators lag behind the price
movements, slow to react to things like breakouts, which is a big
problem. By the time the indicator gives you the signal to enter the
market, the move has already ended and you’ve missed out. Do yourself a
favor, remove all the indicators from your chart, don’t be another Forex
trading failure. Make the switch to a cleaner trading system. Read
about the benefits of price action trading.
Money management is essential to a long term success by cementing
consistency to a trader’s performance. It’s alarming to hear how many
new traders ‘guesstimate’ their positions size on the fly, and change it
as they jump from trade to trade. These type of cowboys end up risking
way too much on one trade, and not risking enough on the next.
This type of behavior will cause wild swings in equity curves, and will eventually cause the account to crash and burn. Understanding risk reward
is a key importance for any money management plan. New traders that
actually do have a money management plan unfortunately tend to lean
towards negative geared money management. This means for every trade
taken, they are risking more than they are aiming for in return.
The rookie error here lies in the way they think about risk. Because
the target is so small, the market will easily hit it their trade
targets, and by applying a wide stop loss to the trade, it will give the
market plenty of ‘room to breathe’, so it has a better chance to hit
the small target. This couldn’t be more mathematically and logically
flawed.
Let’s say the trader is risking $100 to only aim for a $20 return.
That means for every stop out (-$100), the next 5 trades have to be
winners just to make up for that one single trade’s loss. The next trade
is also stopped out, losing another $100. Now the trader must make 10
successful trades in a row just to make up for these two losses, and if
there are any more losers along the way, it will further push the
account into the negative.
Smart traders use positive money management, aiming for at least
double what they risk. This means 50% of the trades can be losers and
the trader will still make money.
There are two types of traders. Technical traders who make trading decisions by analyzing the charts, and the Forex trading failure
who follow fundamental trading strategies based off the news and
economic events. Retail traders that use fundamental elements to make
trading decisions have a much more difficult time making money, because
the news can create such volatile and unpredictable trading conditions
making it hard to enter or even exit a position.
Professional fundamental traders usually have a background in
economics, and are really ‘keyed in’ with the economic and financial
events going around the globe. They have a good understanding on how
different news releases or economic figures will affect the value of
certain currencies. There guys are usually connected to very fast
networks to be competitive with the other market participants who are
trying to get that first trade in after a news release. By the time a
retail trader likes us gets the chance to position in, all the action is
over.
Newbies basing their trades on financial news and economic releases
usually have no idea what they are getting into. These guys are blindly
jumping in with the increased volatility the news creates for that wild
trading adrenaline rush! Most traders are just basing their trade
decision on expected vs. actual news releases. Traders who try trade the
news for quick profits generally have no idea what is really going on
and have a short trading lifespan.
So when the newbie finally comes up with a trading strategy, with set
rules and a strict money management plan to follow, you would think
that this is beginning steps to success. Well it certainly is, but
problem is not usually the plan, it’s the trader! One of the challenges
of becoming a trader is learning to stick to your own trading plan.
It’s not uncommon for people to take trades, even when their trading
plan told them not to. Their trading plan might tell them to exit a
trade, but greed kicks in, and the trade is left open with the intention
of squeezing more out of the market. Such a shame to see it turn back
around to become a loser instead.
Stop losses are moved further away from the entry with the
expectation of the trade turning around in their favor eventually. Give
it a bit more room to move further into the negative, only to be stopped
out anyway and suffer a greater loss than they should of.
Sticking to a trading plan is a strong test of discipline. If a
trader can’t stick to a plan they are a going to be another Forex
trading failure. There is no room for the weak, it’s a cutthroat
industry where the overall time is ‘survival of the fittest’. If you
display weakness, the market rip you apart emotionally and take all your
hard earned money!
The great thing with Forex is that you can use leverage to control a
large amount of money with a small amount of money, significantly
increasing your profit potential.
If there was no such thing as leverage then you would need tens of
thousands of dollars to invest before you could make noticeable returns.
While leveraging is an excellent feature, it is also open to abuse. If
something can be abused then it normally will be.
Leverage is a double edge sword because it allows you to make more
money with a small amount of capital. On the flip side, leveraging can
also lose that money just as fast if things don’t work out in your
favor, so it’s best to always plan for the worst.
Uneducated traders often use max leverage settings on their accounts
and quickly find themselves being slapped in the faces with margin
calls! If you can’t make money with lower leverage, you’re not going to
be able to do it with high leverage.
Another Forex trading failure, often fuelled by desperateness, is
traders who risk more money than they can afford to lose. Risking
valuable capital on one trade can cause the trader to lose sleep at
night from high stress levels. You can imagine the stress on the traders
shoulders when trading with money they is really needed elsewhere, it’s
going to take a lot of control not to get emotional!
I hope today’s article was helpful, and a bit of a wake up call for those traders who continuously making these Forex trading mistakes. Don’t be a douche bag, respect your money, trade with a clear head and look at Forex at an investment, not a cash machine.
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